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India-Oman FTA may be reality soon; legal vetting of deal's text underway

Wed, 02/21/2024 - 10:42
India is keen to finalise the trade pact before the model code of conduct (MCC) kicks-in ahead of its general elections, making the timing of the finalisation of the proposed deal crucial

India's GDP growth to moderate to 6.5% in FY25, projects Morgan Stanley

Wed, 02/21/2024 - 07:07
Morgan Stanley Research's report said that it maintained a constructive outlook on the Indian economy, while highlighting that risks emanate from global factors and elections in May 2024

GDP growth to moderate sequentially to 6% in Q3 FY2024, projects ICRA

Wed, 02/21/2024 - 06:31
Rating agency ICRA on Wednesday projected GDP growth to moderate sequentially to 6 per cent in the third quarter of FY24 from 7.6 per cent in the preceding three months mainly due to subdued performance of agriculture and industrial sectors. Further, it said the GVA (Gross Value Added) growth is estimated to ease to 6 per cent in the October-December quarter FY24 from 7.4 per cent in the second quarter of the last fiscal. The anticipated deterioration in the industrial sector growth in the third quarter is partly attributable to an adverse base effect and a deceleration in volume expansion, even as the continued deflation in commodity prices kept the profitability of some sectors favourable. Additionally, a mild 0.2 per cent contraction in the total spending of the government of India and the 25 state governments (all states except Arunachal Pradesh, Goa, and Manipur) in the October-December period is expected to have dulled the GVA growth in the quarter. "Lower volume growth for t

'Urgent need for climate risk evaluation rules, more adaptation funding'

Wed, 02/21/2024 - 06:12
India is yet to create a common framework for evaluating risks due to climate change and a systematic methodology for ascertaining the extent to which development programmes address climate risk and vulnerability, according to a new report released on Wednesday. The report by Climate Policy Initiative, a multi-national analysis and advisory organisation with expertise in finance and policy, said the lack of a common framework for evaluating climate risks makes it hard to tell how development projects address these issues, and to track funding for adaptation measures. Despite these challenges, it said, there is a growing push for climate adaptation action in India, leading to plans, policies, and schemes at national and state levels. However, the focus and progress vary among states. The report titled "Financing Adaptation in India" also highlighted the need for "significant" investment for adaptation (adjusting to the effects of climate change) in the country. An analysis of state

India needs to grow at rapid rates to become $35 trn economy by 2047: Kant

Wed, 02/21/2024 - 05:50
India will be the third largest economy by 2027 and it needs to grow at rapid rates to become a USD 35 trillion economy by 2047, the country's G20 Sherpa Amitabh Kant said on Wednesday. Addressing an event organised by the All India Management Association, Kant further said that India needs to grow at 9-10 per cent year after year for the next three decades. "India will be the third largest economy by 2027. And now that Japan, the United Kingdom and Germany are all in the recession phase, we should be able to do it much quicker and much faster," he said. Currently, India is the fifth largest economy and the size of the Indian economy would be about USD 3.6 trillion by March 31, 2024 in nominal terms. "And it is important to be ambitious to make India grow at rapid rates and be USD 35 trillion economy by 2047," Kant added. He noted that India has come a long way from the time when it had faced balance sheet problems. Kant pointed out that unlike the West, where all innovation came

Digital public infra contributes 0.9% to GDP, to triple by 2030: Nasscom

Wed, 02/21/2024 - 05:11
Digital public infrastructures like Aadhaar, UPI and FASTag generated a value of USD 31.8 billion in 2022, contributing 0.9 per cent to India's GDP, and the contribution is projected to increase 2.9-4.2 per cent by 2030, industry body Nasscom said in a report. The Nasscom-Arthur D. Little report titled 'Digital Public Infrastructure of India - Accelerating India's Digital Inclusion' said that Indian DPIs' foundational layers are based on transparency and trust, which promotes paperless transactions, reduces bureaucracy, and advances the concept of digital identity and document management. The report said that mature DPIs such as Aadhaar, UPI (Unified Payments Interface), and FASTag have witnessed exponential adoption by 2022, and the next 7-8 years offer an opportunity for further scalability, reaching even the most remote segments of the population. "By 2030, adoption across matured and budding DPIs has the potential to scale up. The economic value add of these DPIs by 2030 has the

Govt must focus on exports to reach 10% economic growth: Finance Commission

Wed, 02/21/2024 - 05:10
India must focus on exports to achieve 10 per cent economic growth, Arvind Panagariya, Chairman of the 16th Finance Commission, has said. Paragariya also said that the temptation of import-substituting industrial policy is not unique to India. "I have looked at successful countries such as...Singapore, Taiwan, South Korea, China, and India - these are the...high-growth examples. "My conclusion is very clear - countries that have been open are the ones that have grown rapidly," he said in an interaction with 'Foundation For Economic Development'. He added that the intellectual support for industrial policy and import substitution remains strong in India. Panagariya also explained how the global export market was worth USD 32 trillion in 2022, almost ten times India's GDP. He pointed out that China acquired a very large share of certain products which gave the country a huge boost. "For 3-4 decades, it grew at 10 per cent a year," the economist said.

ICAI to suggest ways to improve country's tax to GDP ratio, says Agarwal

Wed, 02/21/2024 - 02:36
Chartered accountants' apex body ICAI will provide suggestions to the government on increasing the tax to GDP ratio as well as on green finance. At a briefing in the national capital on Wednesday, ICAI President Ranjeet Kumar Agarwal said the tax to GDP ratio should improve for the country to become a developed economy by 2047. The Institute of Chartered Accountants of India (ICAI) has more than 4 lakh members and 8.5 lakh students. Spelling out the vision for the institute, Agarwal, who took over as the President on February 12, also said a committee will identify irrelevant laws and make suggestions in this regard to the government. Among other initiatives, the institute will come out with a roadmap on how Artificial Intelligence (AI) can be used for its various stakeholders.

India Inc must get its act together on capex: RBI's state of economy report

Tue, 02/20/2024 - 13:18
Unsecured loans rise despite higher risk weighting

Govt debt to GDP may fall in contrast to global trend: RBI report

Tue, 02/20/2024 - 12:29
Dismisses IMF's contention of ratio exceeding 100%

India opposes China-led investment facilitation proposal at WTO

Tue, 02/20/2024 - 11:26
This is because investment, as a subject, falls outside the mandate of the WTO. Besides, India is fundamentally against plurilateral pacts on multilateral platforms such as the WTO

Prospects bright for capital formation, upturn in pvt capital expenditure

Tue, 02/20/2024 - 11:09
The government also expects inflation to further reduce due to measures announced to rein in food prices

'US-India alliance for women's economic empowerment being revitalised'

Tue, 02/20/2024 - 10:49
An alliance between the US and India that seeks to facilitate women's economic participation in India by catalysing commitments from private sector, civil society and government leaders in both countries is being revitalised, a senior US diplomat said on Tuesday. The US-India Alliance for Women's Economic Empowerment will work across the board to harness the resources of the private sector and NGOs to foster commitments for women's retention, and stem employment and entrepreneurship, Deputy Chief of Mission in India Patricia A Lacina said. She was delivering the keynote address at the WEConnect International Empowering Inclusion-Advancing Value Chains Summit 2024. "...we are revitalising the US-India Alliance for Women's Economic Empowerment. A public-private partnership to enhance mentorship," she said. Last year, the US-India Strategic Partnership Forum (USISPF), the US Department of State, the US Agency for International Development (USAID) and the George Washington University .

Flows into NRI deposits up 72.7% in April-December 2023: RBI Bulletin

Tue, 02/20/2024 - 10:41
Non-resident external (NRE) deposits were at $97.69 billion in December 2023, up from $96.79 billion in November and $94.46 billion at the end of December 2022

Retail inflation for farm, rural workers eases marginally in January

Tue, 02/20/2024 - 10:34
Retail inflation for farm workers and rural labourers eased marginally to 7.52 per cent and 7.37 per cent in January as compared to the previous month, mainly due to lower prices of certain food items. In December 2023, Consumer Price Index-Agricultural Labourers (CPI-AL) and Consumer Price Index-Rural Labourers (CPI-RL) was 7.71 per cent and 7.46 per cent, respectively. Food inflation stood at 9.67 per cent and 9.43 per cent last month as compared to 9.95 per cent and 9.80 per cent in December 2023 and 6.61 per cent and 6.47 per cent in the year-ago period, a labour ministry statement said. In January 2023, CPI-AL was 6.85 per cent and CPI-RL was 6.88 per cent. The All-India CPI number for AL and RL for January 2024 increased by 1 point each to 1,258 and 1,268 points, respectively. The CPI-AL and CPI-RL were 1,257 and 1,267 points, respectively in December 2023. The major contribution towards rise in the general index of AL and RL came from miscellaneous groups to the extent of 1

Arvind Panagariya warns about pitfalls of import-substituting policy

Tue, 02/20/2024 - 10:13
On why countries with low per-capita incomes, such as India, must focus on exports, Panagariya explained how the global export market was worth $32 trillion in 2022, almost ten times India's GDP

Economic outlook appears bright, 7% GDP growth expected in FY25: FinMin

Tue, 02/20/2024 - 09:45
The outlook for the Indian economy appears 'bright' with GDP likely to clock 7 per cent growth rate next fiscal although the nation needs to keep a watch on global headwinds emanating from geopolitical tensions and volatility in international financial markets, a finance ministry report said on Tuesday. During the current financial year, the Indian economy is estimated to grow at 7.3 per cent. This would be the third year in the row when the GDP would grow in excess of 7 per cent. Driven by a better-than-expected performance in Q2 and above 7 per cent growth projection for FY24 (by Ministry of Statistics and Programme Implementation in its first advance estimates), many global agencies have revised India's growth projection in the upward direction, the Monthly Economic Review released by the finance ministry said. This reflects the resilience of the Indian economy to sustain its growth path amidst ongoing geopolitical headwinds, it said, adding, the measures announced in the Interim

Net FDI into India down 55% to $9.69 billion in Apr-Dec 2023: RBI Bulletin

Tue, 02/20/2024 - 09:44
Receding inflation, dip in borrowing costs may support FDI in 2024

Fresh formal job creation surges to three-month high in December 2023

Tue, 02/20/2024 - 09:06
Earlier in September 2023, 950,527 subscribers had joined the EPF. This data is crucial as only the formal workforce enjoys social security benefits and is protected by labour laws

Govt cuts import duty on turkeys; exempts extra long staple cotton from tax

Tue, 02/20/2024 - 08:49
The government has fully exempted customs duty on import of extra long staple cotton, and has cut duties on specified varieties of imported blueberries, cranberries and frozen turkeys. In a notification, the Finance Ministry has slashed import duty on certain items of blueberries and cranberries from 30 per cent to 10 per cent in some cases and 5 per cent in other cases. Similarly, import duty pertaining to meat and edible offal of turkeys, were also reduced from 30 per cent to 5 per cent effective Tuesday. According to officials, the duty rate changes on frozen turkey, specified cranberries and blueberries and their processed products is to implement the recommendation of the Department of Commerce following a mutually agreed solution between India and the US. Nangia Andersen India Associate Director- Indirect Tax, Khushbu Trivedi, said, in pursuance of the bilateral agreement that took place in the recent G20 Leaders' Summit between India and USA intended at addressing the past .

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